Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.005385 0.005967 0.006598 0.007335 0.008175 0.009106 0.010218
2025-07-06 0.004352 0.005128 0.006036 0.007185 0.008610 0.010338 0.012613
2025-07-13 0.003823 0.004690 0.005756 0.007178 0.009052 0.011472 0.014895
2025-07-20 0.003519 0.004461 0.005666 0.007349 0.009682 0.012867 0.017664
2025-07-27 0.003200 0.004163 0.005438 0.007284 0.009954 0.013774 0.019851
2025-08-03 0.002960 0.003941 0.005278 0.007280 0.010286 0.014780 0.022304
2025-08-10 0.002736 0.003716 0.005086 0.007196 0.010476 0.015574 0.024518
2025-08-17 0.002581 0.003573 0.004992 0.007242 0.010855 0.016692 0.027428
2025-08-24 0.002412 0.003394 0.004828 0.007158 0.011012 0.017454 0.029821
2025-08-31 0.002229 0.003179 0.004593 0.006937 0.010912 0.017760 0.031410
2025-09-07 0.002115 0.003059 0.004491 0.006919 0.011147 0.018670 0.034294
2025-09-14 0.002066 0.003036 0.004537 0.007145 0.011826 0.020464 0.039276
2025-09-21 0.001937 0.002884 0.004373 0.007014 0.011873 0.021122 0.042099
2025-09-28 0.001817 0.002738 0.004210 0.006872 0.011891 0.021739 0.044991
2025-10-05 0.001733 0.002646 0.004129 0.006866 0.012162 0.022895 0.049376
2025-10-12 0.001687 0.002611 0.004141 0.007028 0.012777 0.024858 0.056195
2025-10-19 0.001607 0.002514 0.004038 0.006967 0.012933 0.025847 0.060753
2025-10-26 0.001542 0.002440 0.003970 0.006962 0.013205 0.027136 0.066446
2025-11-02 0.001472 0.002350 0.003867 0.006883 0.013307 0.028040 0.071281
2025-11-09 0.001424 0.002298 0.003829 0.006926 0.013679 0.029649 0.078666
2025-11-16 0.001362 0.002218 0.003734 0.006847 0.013769 0.030572 0.084174
2025-11-23 0.001287 0.002110 0.003581 0.006638 0.013538 0.030641 0.086912
2025-11-30 0.001243 0.002054 0.003523 0.006620 0.013753 0.031917 0.094172